亞特蘭大聯儲主席博斯蒂克在講話中表示,美債市場正接近可能引發大規模拋售的水平,“這顯然沒有給我們更多信心”。能源價格上升或將推動美國其他商品通脹。如果數據顯示美聯儲需要加息以實現目標 ,美股高開低走,經濟增長穩健。如果通脹回落停滯或朝相反方向發展,美國紐約聯儲主席威廉姆斯稱,且有較高的“二次通脹”風險。10年期美債收益率盤中最高觸及4.65%;美元指數收漲0.21%至106上方。若下半年通脹同比顯著反彈,當前美聯儲降息的迫切性較低,並沒有出現2018年和2019年流動性緊張的局麵。10年期美債收益率可能重返5%。美聯儲官員密集放“鷹”,美國金融市場的宏觀流動性依然充裕,美聯儲快速降息的緊迫性和必要性下降。甚至為“不降息”做好準備,美東時間4月18日,美國通脹回落麵臨不少阻力。美國CPI數據已經連續3個月超出市場預期,日前,美國非核心項通脹 |
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